Detailed Methodology Of Beta & Volatility – Measurement & Importance
When it comes to understanding the value of a company in the stock market, there are two key players in the game: Beta and Volatility. Don’t let the fancy terms scare you off – we’re here to break down the details in plain language. Join us on this journey to unravel the secrets of how Beta and Volatility play a crucial role in figuring out the worth of a company.
I. Beta: Your Stock’s Rollercoaster Ride:
A)What’s Beta, Anyway:
Imagine you’re on a rollercoaster. Beta is like a measure of how wild or mild that ride is compared to the whole amusement park (the stock market).
B)What Does Beta Say:
If a stock has a beta of 1, it’s like saying, “Hey, I’ll follow the park’s excitement level.” A beta less than 1 means a tamer ride, while more than 1 suggests a rollercoaster with extra twists and turns.
C)Use Of Beta In Valuation Of Unlisted And Private Company:
-Beta is used in determining the valuation of an unlisted public company or a private company, using the discounted cash flow method.
-It is used in calculating the Cost of Equity, which is in turn used in calculating the Overall Cost of Capital of a Company, which is used in discounting the cash inflows.
D)Unlevered Beta And Levered Beta:
1)Unlevered Beta:
It measures the risk of a firm with only equity in its capital structure to the volatility of the market.
2)Levered Beta:
Levered beta measures the risk of a firm with debt and equity in its capital structure to the volatility of the market.
E)Determining Levered And Unlevered Beta:
If you know either levered or unleveled beta, the other can be calculated using the following formulas:
Levered Beta = Unlevered Beta * {1+ [(1+ Tax Rate) * (Debt/Equity)]}
Unlevered Beta = Levered Beta/ {1+ [(1+ Tax Rate) * (Debt/Equity)]}
II. Volatility: The Rollercoaster’s Bumps And Twists:
A)Understanding Volatility:
Now, let’s talk about the bumps and twists on that rollercoaster – that’s volatility. It’s like measuring how much the ride shakes you around.
B)Measuring Volatility:
High volatility means more shaking and low volatility means a smoother ride. It’s all about figuring out how crazy or calm your rollercoaster journey might be.
III. Why Beta And Volatility Matter In Valuation:
A)Assessing Risk:
Beta helps you figure out if your rollercoaster (stock) is a thrill-seeker or a laid-back cruiser. More thrills (high beta) can mean more risk but also more excitement.
B)Making Balanced Choices:
Just like picking different rides for a balanced amusement park day, investors use beta to create a mix of stocks that balance the excitement and risk.
C)Calculating Costs:
Beta isn’t just for fun – it helps investors estimate the cost of jumping on a particular rollercoaster. It’s like knowing how much you need to spend for your amusement park adventure.
IV. Simple Tips For Grasping Beta And Volatility:
A)High Beta – Hold Tight:
If a stock has a high beta, get ready for a wild ride. It might bring bigger thrills, but be prepared for some ups and downs.
B)Low Beta – Enjoy The Scenery:
Low beta stocks are like a gentle carousel. They may not spin as fast, but they offer a smoother, more predictable experience.
V. Conclusion:
-In the world of stocks, Beta and Volatility act as your guides, helping you decide which rollercoasters are worth the ride.
-So, whether you’re a thrill-seeker or prefer a calm journey, understanding Beta and Volatility adds a fun and useful dimension to your stock market adventure.